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EXCLUSIVE — President Joe Biden is losing support among voters who once backed his predecessor after flipping them two years ago.

A poll analyzing voters who supported former President Donald Trump in 2016 before casting a ballot for Biden in 2020 has found just 3 in 10 would back the incumbent again.


The poll, published by Republican public opinion research firm J.L. Partners, also found 1 in 5 of the same voters graded Biden as performing "very well" as president. Voters older than 65 were more critical of Biden, with 7% echoing the assessment.

J.L. Partners founder James Johnson, former British Prime Minister Theresa May's chief pollster, predicts that so-called purple voters will be pivotal in November's midterm elections and the next presidential cycle, estimating that approximately 4 million people are members of the group. For example, the poll found more than 1 in 4 planning to vote Republican this fall, prompted by liberal positions on the removal of statues and monuments, the use of gender pronouns, race protests, and cancel culture. About 68% remained committed to Democrats.

Johnson, too, attributes Biden's and Democrats' deteriorating purple voter support to disappointment over their handling of the economy and immigration policy as well as their promise to unite the country. Democrats retain their advantage over Republicans regarding the COVID-19 pandemic, purple voters' top concern, and healthcare, according to Johnson.

“For Biden, the poll is bleak," Johnson told the Washington Examiner.

The poll also demonstrates a troublesome trend for Vice President Kamala Harris. Roughly 15% of purple voters considered Harris to be doing "very well" as Biden's understudy.

But at the same time, 8% of purple voters would support Trump in a 2024 Biden-Trump rematch. Another 68% would back Biden.

“A focus on the last election strongly deters them and, come November, could cost those candidates who are currently ramping up their rhetoric for the primaries," Johnson said. "The GOP would do much better targeting their message on inflation, as well as crime and the border.”

Nikki Haley, former U.N. ambassador and South Carolina governor, and onetime Vice President Mike Pence emerged as purple voters' most popular poll-tested White House candidates. Yet Haley and Pence were both overshadowed by Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg.

“This is just about the only group of voters in the country who give both Pence and Buttigieg a positive approval rating,” Johnson added.


J.L. Partners polled a sample of 663 purple voters online between Jan. 17 and April 2022. The firm's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Its previous U.S. work includes Arizona's 2022 Republican gubernatorial contest.

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Poll: Nearly Half of Republicans Say Democrats Using Mass Immigration to Import New Voters

Almost half of Republicans say Democrats are using mass immigration to alter the United States electorate by bringing in millions of new voters, an Associated Press (AP)-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll finds.

The AP-NORC poll shows about 47 percent of Republicans believe Democrats are using the nation’s immigration system to naturalize as many legal immigrants as possible for the purpose of tilting the American electorate in their favor.

A multilingual “Vote here” sign is displayed in the voting room at Christ Lutheran Church in Monterey Park, Los Angeles County, California on November 6, 2012. (FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)

Every year, the U.S. rewards more than a million legal immigrants with green cards. More than a million more come to the U.S. annually on temporary work visas and hundreds of thousands arrive every year as illegal aliens.

“Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: There is a group of people in this country who are trying to replace native-born Americans with immigrants who agree with their political views,” the poll asked.

About 1 in 3 Americans, overall, said they believe mass immigration is being used to bring new voters to the United States, including 22 percent of Democrats and 22 percent of swing voters.

Likewise, roughly 23 percent of Americans said legal immigrants pose a “major risk” to the outcome of U.S. elections while 28 percent of Americans said the same of illegal aliens.

Exit polls from the 2016 presidential election, for which the most recent data is available, show that foreign-born voters overwhelmingly preferred Democrat Hillary Clinton to former President Trump by a 33-percent margin.

Meanwhile, native-born Americans preferred Trump by a 5-percent margin.

Screenshot via Statista

Nearly 3 in 10 Americans said the nation’s record-breaking foreign-born population, at 46.2 million, will result in native-born Americans losing economic, political, and cultural influence in U.S. society — including 36 percent of Republicans, 27 percent of Democrats, and 21 percent of swing voters.

The poll comes after President Joe Biden boosted the foreign-born voting population in 2021.

From October 1, 2020, to September 30, 2021, about 855,000 legal immigrants became naturalized American citizens — the highest annual number of legal immigrants getting naturalized in more than a decade. Put another way, more than 2,300 legal immigrants were naturalized every day in the last year.

The last time naturalization rates were this high was in Fiscal Year 2008, when more than a million legal immigrants became naturalized American citizens. Already, foreign-born voters now account for 1 in 10 voters in the U.S. — the highest share in the nation’s history.

The Pew Research Center, as well as a number of establishment media outlets, has noted that the immigration trends are aiding Democrats in their electoral prospects.

A significant increase in naturalization rates ahead of the 2022 midterms and the 2024 presidential election could deliver big gains for Democrats, as margins in a number of swing states have been small over the last two presidential elections. In Pennsylvania, for example, Biden won the state by less than 81,000 votes.

The Washington Post, the New York Times, the Atlantic, Axios, the Los Angeles Times, and the Wall Street Journal have all admitted that rapid demographic changes spurred by mass immigration are tilting the nation toward a permanent Democrat political majority.

“The single biggest threat to Republicans’ long-term viability is demographics,” Axios acknowledged in 2019. “The numbers simply do not lie … there’s not a single demographic megatrend that favors Republicans.”

Already, the U.S. has the most generous immigration system in the world — expected to bring in 15 million new foreign-born voters by 2042. About eight million of those voters will have arrived entirely due to the process known as “chain migration” whereby newly naturalized citizens can bring an unlimited number of foreign relatives to the U.S.

John Binder is a reporter for Breitbart News. Email him at [email protected] Follow him on Twitter here. 

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